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Ethereum’s Path to $10,000: Supply Squeeze and Historical Trends Fuel Bullish Outlook

Ethereum’s Path to $10,000: Supply Squeeze and Historical Trends Fuel Bullish Outlook

Published:
2025-07-01 22:02:14
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[TRADE_PLUGIN]ETHUSDT,ETHUSDT[/TRADE_PLUGIN]

Ethereum is showing strong signs of a bullish resurgence, with its price retesting weekly highs after a period of stagnation. A significant factor driving this momentum is the supply squeeze caused by over 35 million ETH—nearly 30% of its total supply—being staked. Historically, such supply constraints have preceded sharp price surges when demand picks up. Analysts highlight Ethereum's impressive track record during past bull markets, including a 300x surge in 2017 and a 50x rise in 2021. While another 300x gain may be unlikely, the current market dynamics and growing demand suggest that Ethereum could be on its way to reaching the $10,000 mark in the next cycle. This article delves into the factors fueling this Optimism and what investors can expect in the coming months.

Ethereum Price Prediction: Is $10,000 Coming Next Cycle?

Ethereum has regained momentum with a strong upward price movement, retesting weekly highs after a period of sluggish trading. Nearly 30% of its total supply—over 35 million ETH—is now staked, creating a supply squeeze that historically precedes sharp price surges when demand increases.

Analysts point to Ethereum's track record of exponential gains during bull markets: a 300x surge in 2017 and a 50x rise in 2021. While another 300x jump seems improbable, a sixfold increase from current levels could propel ETH past the $10,000 threshold in the next major cycle.

Short-term technical analysis suggests sustained bullish momentum. ethereum maintains support above $2,415, with no signs of a top formation. Early futures market activity today pushed prices toward Thursday's resistance level, though a decisive breakout remains pending. A successful breach could target $2,500 and beyond.

Ethereum Staking Reaches Record High with 28% of Supply Locked

Ethereum's staking ecosystem has achieved a historic milestone, with over 35 million ETH—28.3% of its total supply—now locked in staking contracts. At current valuations, this represents more than $84 billion committed to network security, marking the highest staking ratio since Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake.

The staked ETH balance has grown steadily since the Merge, climbing from 30 million to 35 million ETH in just six months. June alone saw a surge of 500,000 ETH deposited into staking pools in the first two weeks, signaling robust confidence in Ethereum's consensus mechanism.

Centralization risks loom as Lido, Binance, and Coinbase collectively control nearly 40% of validator balances. Lido dominates with 8.7 million ETH staked—a quarter of the total—while the two exchanges manage 7.5% each. Analysts warn that coordinated action among these entities could impact over 40% of new block production.

With 19% of ETH held in long-term wallets and staking withdrawals limited, liquid supply has tightened to post-Merge lows. Just 53% of ETH remains actively tradable, creating potential supply pressure as institutional staking grows.

Ethereum Faces Critical Resistance at $2,550 Amid Weak Demand

Ether's rally has stalled at a formidable resistance zone NEAR $2,550, where multiple technical indicators converge. The asset now faces a make-or-break moment as trading volume fails to confirm bullish momentum.

The current price action mirrors previous range-bound behavior, with ETHUSDT bouncing from oversold conditions only to meet layered resistance. This zone combines Fibonacci retracement levels, volume-weighted average price resistance, and the point of control from a 43-day trading range.

Market structure suggests potential consolidation between $2,220 support and current resistance. Without significant volume influx, Ethereum may remain trapped in this range for weeks, repeating the pattern observed earlier this year.

BitMine Immersion Stock Triples After $250M Raise for Ether Treasury, Appoints Thomas Lee as Chairman

BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) has secured $250 million through a private placement of common stock, with proceeds earmarked to establish an ether (ETH) treasury. The deal, expected to close on July 3, positions the Las Vegas-based miner among the largest public holders of ETH.

Priced at $4.50 per share, the financing attracted notable investors including Founders Fund, Pantera Capital, Kraken, Galaxy Digital, and Republic. Cantor Fitzgerald advised lead investor MOZAYYX, while ThinkEquity facilitated the placement.

The company cited Ethereum's dominance in stablecoin payments, tokenized assets, and decentralized finance as justification for selecting ETH as its primary reserve asset. "A direct ETH treasury position grants access to native protocol-level activities like staking and DeFi mechanisms," BitMine stated.

Fundstrat founder Thomas Lee, a Wall Street veteran known for his crypto research, joins as Chairman of the Board. Lee characterized the funding round as evidence of "the rapid convergence between traditional finance and crypto," introducing ether-per-share as a new performance metric.

Ethereum Price Eyes $5K as Short Squeeze Looms: Analysts Predict Major Breakout

Ethereum's price surged 3% this week, breaching the $2,500 resistance before settling at $2,470. The rally coincides with a critical network upgrade introducing an "active-active" validator architecture—a solution spearheaded by Obol Labs to enhance security and decentralization while addressing ETH staking inefficiencies.

Market sentiment turns increasingly bullish as analysts like Crypto Patel project targets above $6,000. Yet diverging signals emerge: whales are dumping ETH on HTX, ByBit, and OKX exchanges, while CME data reveals record bearish positions. This tension sets the stage for a potential short squeeze, with Lookonchain tracking substantial whale sell-offs that could trigger cascading liquidations.

Ether ICO-Era Whale Reawakens After 10 Years, Raking In 787,000% Profit

A dormant Ethereum wallet from the 2014 ICO era suddenly transferred 1 ETH on June 29 after a decade of inactivity. The wallet originally acquired 1,000 ETH at $0.31 per token during Ethereum's genesis sale, turning a $310 investment into $2.44 million at current prices—a 787,000% gain.

The transaction has sparked speculation about the holder's intentions, as movements from early adopters often influence market sentiment. Ethereum, now trading at $2,459, remains 49.8% below its 2021 peak despite Bitcoin's recent all-time high.

Vitalik Buterin's vision of a programmable blockchain materialized with Ethereum's 2015 launch, cementing its status as crypto's leading altcoin. The whale's reemergence underscores the staggering returns of early crypto adoption.

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